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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico 2nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

U.S. House, NM-2, 2024, General election

Oct. 10-18, 2024
414LV
Oct. 10-18, 2024
414LV
Vasquez
49%
Vasquez
49%

Vasquez

49%

Herrell

45%
45%
Herrell  Vasquez+4
Sept. 26-30, 2024
582LV
Sept. 26-30, 2024
582LV
Vasquez
51%
Vasquez
51%

Vasquez

51%

Herrell

42%
42%
Herrell  Vasquez+9
Aug. 20-22, 2024
283RV
Aug. 20-22, 2024
283RV
Vasquez
50%
Vasquez
50%

Vasquez

50%

Herrell

41%
41%
Herrell  Vasquez+10
July 11-14, 2024
400LV
July 11-14, 2024
400LV
Vasquez
46%
Vasquez
46%

Vasquez

46%

Herrell

48%
48%
Herrell  Herrell+2
Sept. 6-12, 2023
541LV
Sept. 6-12, 2023
541LV
Vasquez
45%
Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

46%
46%
Herrell  Herrell+1

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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