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Who’s ahead in the New York 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, NY-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 13-17
526LV
Oct. 13-17
526LV
Avlon
44%
Avlon
44%

Avlon

44%

LaLota

47%
47%
LaLota  LaLota+3
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
400LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 1
400LV
Avlon
40%
Avlon
40%

Avlon

40%

LaLota

49%
49%
LaLota  LaLota+10
Sept. 26-29
400LV
Sept. 26-29
400LV
Avlon
42%
Avlon
42%

Avlon

42%

LaLota

50%
50%
LaLota  LaLota+8
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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