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Who’s ahead in the New York 19th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, NY-19, 2024, General election

Oct. 11-16
561LV
Oct. 11-16
561LV
Riley
46%
Riley
46%

Riley

46%

Molinaro

42%
42%
Molinaro  Riley+4
Oct. 9-13
801LV
Oct. 9-13
801LV
Riley
48%
Riley
48%

Riley

48%

Molinaro

45%
45%
Molinaro  Riley+3
Sept. 5-12
461LV
Sept. 5-12
461LV
Riley
42%
Riley
42%

Riley

42%

Molinaro

39%
39%
Molinaro  Riley+3
July 9-11
420RV
July 9-11
420RV
Riley
38%
Riley
38%

Riley

38%

Molinaro

47%
47%
Molinaro  Molinaro+9
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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