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Who’s ahead in the New York 4th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 18, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

Oct. 11-19
734LV
Oct. 11-19
734LV
Gillen
45%
Gillen
45%

Gillen

45%

D'Esposito

46%
46%
D'Esposito  D'Esposito+1

Oct. 16, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

Oct. 13-17
532LV
Oct. 13-17
532LV
Gillen
53%
Gillen
53%

Gillen

53%

D'Esposito

41%
41%
D'Esposito  Gillen+12

Aug. 29, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

Aug. 26-30
400LV
Aug. 26-30
400LV
Gillen
50%
Gillen
50%

Gillen

50%

D'Esposito

47%
47%
D'Esposito  Gillen+3

Aug. 12, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

Aug. 11-13
400LV
Aug. 11-13
400LV
Gillen
42%
Gillen
42%

Gillen

42%

D'Esposito

48%
48%
D'Esposito  D'Esposito+6

July 11, 2024

U.S. House, NY-4, 2024, General election

July 9-12
713LV
July 9-12
713LV
Gillen
46%
Gillen
46%

Gillen

46%

D'Esposito

39%
39%
D'Esposito  Gillen+7
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