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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania 1st District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, PA-1, 2024, General election

Sept. 4-10
400LV
Sept. 4-10
400LV
Ehasz
45%
Ehasz
45%

Ehasz

45%

Fitzpatrick

50%
50%
Fitzpatrick  Fitzpatrick+5
Sept. 7-9
400RV
Sept. 7-9
400RV
Ehasz
40%
Ehasz
40%

Ehasz

40%

Fitzpatrick

54%
54%
Fitzpatrick  Fitzpatrick+14
June 12-16
400LV
June 12-16
400LV
Ehasz
45%
Ehasz
45%

Ehasz

45%

Fitzpatrick

47%
47%
Fitzpatrick  Fitzpatrick+2
May 14-20
1,200LV
May 14-20
1,200LV
Ehasz
36%
Ehasz
36%

Ehasz

36%

Fitzpatrick

51%
51%
Fitzpatrick  Fitzpatrick+15
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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