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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania 10th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

U.S. House, PA-10, 2024, General election

Oct. 4-7, 2024
300LV
Oct. 4-7, 2024
300LV
Stelson
48%
Stelson
48%

Stelson

48%

Perry

39%
39%
Perry  Stelson+9
July 30-Aug. 2, 2024
600LV
July 30-Aug. 2, 2024
600LV
Stelson
48%
Stelson
48%

Stelson

48%

Perry

47%
47%
Perry  Stelson+1
May 28-June 2, 2024
397RV
May 28-June 2, 2024
397RV
Stelson
44%
Stelson
44%

Stelson

44%

Perry

45%
45%
Perry  Perry+1
May 21-23, 2024
400LV
May 21-23, 2024
400LV
Stelson
48%
Stelson
48%

Stelson

48%

Perry

51%
51%
Perry  Perry+3
April 24-25, 2024
532LV
April 24-25, 2024
532LV
Stelson
43%
Stelson
43%

Stelson

43%

Perry

45%
45%
Perry  Perry+2

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Has a polling averageavg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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