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Who’s ahead in the Virginia 2nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

SAMPLE TYPES:

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

DatesSamplePollsterResultNet result
Dates
Sample
PollsterResult

U.S. House, VA-2, 2024, General election

Oct. 19-20, 2024
373LV
Oct. 19-20, 2024
373LV
Cotter Smasal
47%
Cotter Smasal
47%

Cotter Smasal

47%

Kiggans

47%

Reid

1%
47%
KiggansEven
Oct. 11-20, 2024
800LV
Oct. 11-20, 2024
800LV
Cotter Smasal
45%
Cotter Smasal
45%

Cotter Smasal

45%

Kiggans

46%
46%
Kiggans  Kiggans+1
Sept. 6-10, 2024
792LV
Sept. 6-10, 2024
792LV
Cotter Smasal
40%
Cotter Smasal
40%

Cotter Smasal

40%

Kiggans

45%
45%
Kiggans  Kiggans+5
Aug. 20-25, 2024
500LV
Aug. 20-25, 2024
500LV
Cotter Smasal
47%
Cotter Smasal
47%

Cotter Smasal

47%

Kiggans

48%
48%
Kiggans  Kiggans+1
May 28-30, 2024
420LV
May 28-30, 2024
420LV
Cotter Smasal
44%
Cotter Smasal
44%

Cotter Smasal

44%

Kiggans

48%
48%
Kiggans  Kiggans+4

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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