See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 20, 2020, at 10:44 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Polls policy and FAQs

Who’s ahead in California’s 21st District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 18, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-21CA-21
Sep 8-10, 2020
400 LV
Sep 8-10, 2020
400LVCox
38%

Cox

38%

Valadao

49%
49%
ValadaoValadao+11

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 20, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-21CA-21
Jun 30-Jul 2, 2019
400 LV
Jun 30-Jul 2, 2019
400LVCox
36%

Cox

36%

Valadao

52%
52%
ValadaoValadao+16

Sept. 26, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
CA-21CA-21
Sep 20-24, 2018
555 LV
Sep 20-24, 2018
555LVCox
39%

Cox

39%

Valadao

50%
50%
ValadaoValadao+11

No matching polls

Comments