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Who’s ahead in the California 39th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. House, CA-39, 2020

400LV
Oct.11-14
400LV
Cisneros
46%
Cisneros
46%

Cisneros

46%

Kim

47%
47%
Kim  Kim+1

July 29, 2020

U.S. House, CA-39, 2020

400LV
Jul.27-30
400LV
Cisneros
47%
Cisneros
47%

Cisneros

47%

Kim

45%
45%
Kim  Cisneros+2

July 1, 2019

U.S. House, CA-39, 2020

400LV
Jun.30-Jul.2
400LV
Cisneros
44%
Cisneros
44%

Cisneros

44%

Kim

46%
46%
Kim  Kim+2

Oct. 22, 2018

U.S. House, CA-39, 2018

496RV
Oct.18-23
496RV
Cisneros
50%
Cisneros
50%

Cisneros

50%

Kim

40%
40%
Kim  Cisneros+10
496LV
Oct.18-23
496LV
Cisneros
47%
Cisneros
47%

Cisneros

47%

Kim

46%
46%
Kim  Cisneros+1

Oct. 1, 2018

U.S. House, CA-39, 2018

400LV
Sep.28-Oct.2
400LV
Cisneros
48%
Cisneros
48%

Cisneros

48%

Kim

47%
47%
Kim  Cisneros+1
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