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Who’s ahead in the California 49th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 30, 2022

Oct. 11, 2020

U.S. House, CA-49, 2020

514LV
Oct.8-12
514LV
Levin
56%
Levin
56%

Levin

56%

Maryott

36%
36%
Maryott  Levin+20

Sept. 13, 2020

Oct. 31, 2018

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House, CA-49, 2018

500RV
Oct.19-24
500RV
Levin
55%
Levin
55%

Levin

55%

Harkey

36%
36%
Harkey  Levin+19
500LV
Oct.19-24
500LV
Levin
53%
Levin
53%

Levin

53%

Harkey

39%
39%
Harkey  Levin+15
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