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Who’s ahead in the California 50th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. House, CA-50, 2020

538LV
Oct.22-26
538LV
Campa-Najjar
40%
Campa-Najjar
40%

Campa-Najjar

40%

Issa

51%
51%
Issa  Issa+11

Oct. 12, 2020

U.S. House, CA-50, 2020

401LV
Oct.10-13
401LV
Campa-Najjar
42%
Campa-Najjar
42%

Campa-Najjar

42%

Issa

42%
42%
Issa  Even

Sept. 6, 2020

U.S. House, CA-50, 2020

508LV
Sep.4-7
508LV
Campa-Najjar
45%
Campa-Najjar
45%

Campa-Najjar

45%

Issa

46%
46%
Issa  Issa+1

July 25, 2020

U.S. House, CA-50, 2020

400LV
Jul.22-26
400LV
Campa-Najjar
43%
Campa-Najjar
43%

Campa-Najjar

43%

Issa

47%
47%
Issa  Issa+4

March 20, 2020

U.S. House, CA-50, 2020

400LV
Mar.18-21
400LV
Campa-Najjar
45%
Campa-Najjar
45%

Campa-Najjar

45%

Issa

48%
48%
Issa  Issa+3
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