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Who’s ahead in the Florida House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, FL-13, 2022

509LV
Oct.26-27
509LV
Lynn
45%
Lynn
45%

Lynn

45%

Paulina Luna

46%
46%
Paulina Luna  Paulina Luna+1

U.S. House, FL-4, 2022

413LV
Oct.20-27
413LV
Holloway
38%
Holloway
38%

Holloway

38%

Bean

50%
50%
Bean  Bean+12

Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

300LV
Oct.9-11
300LV
Taddeo
44%
Taddeo
44%

Taddeo

44%

Salazar

50%
50%
Salazar  Salazar+6

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. House, FL-13, 2022

600LV
Oct.4-6
600LV
Lynn
47%
Lynn
47%

Lynn

47%

Paulina Luna

47%
47%
Paulina Luna  Even

Oct. 4, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

400LV
Oct.3-5
400LV
Taddeo
47%
Taddeo
47%

Taddeo

47%

Salazar

46%
46%
Salazar  Taddeo+1

Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. House, FL-1, 2022

618LV
Sep.22-26
618LV
Jones
39%
Jones
39%

Jones

39%

Gaetz

41%
41%
Gaetz  Gaetz+2
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