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Who’s ahead in the Florida 15th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 19, 2022

Aug. 28, 2022

U.S. House, FL-15, 2022

400LV
Aug.24-29
400LV
Cohn
44%
Cohn
44%

Cohn

44%

Lee

47%
47%
Lee  Lee+3

Oct. 23, 2020

U.S. House, FL-15, 2020

530LV
Oct.22-24
530LV
Cohn
44%
Cohn
44%

Cohn

44%

Franklin

46%
46%
Franklin  Franklin+2

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. House, FL-15, 2020

943LV
Oct.15
943LV
Cohn
41%
Cohn
41%

Cohn

41%

Franklin

49%
49%
Franklin  Franklin+8

Oct. 3, 2020

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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