See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 16, 2020, at 9:31 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 6, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Nov 5, 2018
1,194 LV
Nov 5, 2018
1,194LVCarlson
44%

Carlson

44%

Spano

46%
46%
SpanoSpano+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 24, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 16-18, 2018
400 LV
Oct 16-18, 2018
400LVCarlson
47%

Carlson

47%

Spano

47%
47%
SpanoEven

Oct. 22, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 17-18, 2018
1,369 LV
Oct 17-18, 2018
1,369LVCarlson
41%

Carlson

41%

Spano

47%
47%
SpanoSpano+6

Oct. 18, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 16-19, 2018
499 RV
Oct 16-19, 2018
499RVCarlson
43%

Carlson

43%

Spano

37%
37%
SpanoCarlson+6
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 16-19, 2018
499 LV
Oct 16-19, 2018
499LVCarlson
43%

Carlson

43%

Spano

43%
43%
SpanoSpano+1
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 9-14, 2018
591 LV
Oct 9-14, 2018
591LVCarlson
45%

Carlson

45%

Spano

45%
45%
SpanoEven

Oct. 9, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-15FL-15
Oct 3-4, 2018
418 LV
Oct 3-4, 2018
418LVCarlson
39%

Carlson

39%

Spano

46%
46%
SpanoSpano+7
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