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Who’s ahead in the Florida 16th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. House, FL-16, 2020

400LV
Oct.19-21
400LV
Good
38%
Good
38%

Good

38%

Buchanan

53%
53%
Buchanan  Buchanan+15

Oct. 7, 2020

U.S. House, FL-16, 2020

403LV
Oct.6-8
403LV
Good
37%
Good
37%

Good

37%

Buchanan

52%
52%
Buchanan  Buchanan+15
527LV
Oct.5-8
527LV
Good
45%
Good
45%

Good

45%

Buchanan

48%
48%
Buchanan  Buchanan+3

Sept. 30, 2020

U.S. House, FL-16, 2020

400LV
Sep.29-Oct.1
400LV
Good
37%
Good
37%

Good

37%

Buchanan

53%
53%
Buchanan  Buchanan+16

Sept. 26, 2020

U.S. House, FL-16, 2020

500LV
Sep.24-27
500LV
Good
43%
Good
43%

Good

43%

Buchanan

49%
49%
Buchanan  Buchanan+6

Aug. 28, 2020

U.S. House, FL-16, 2020

400LV
Aug.27-29
400LV
Good
35%
Good
35%

Good

35%

Buchanan

51%
51%
Buchanan  Buchanan+16
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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