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Who’s ahead in the Florida 18th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 8, 2020

U.S. House, FL-18, 2020

301LV
Oct.7-9
301LV
Keith
45%
Keith
45%

Keith

45%

Mast

43%

Miller

4%
43%
MastKeith+2

Sept. 17, 2020

U.S. House, FL-18, 2020

1,149LV
Sep.18
1,149LV
Keith
42%
Keith
42%

Keith

42%

Mast

50%

Miller

2%
50%
MastMast+8

Oct. 28, 2018

U.S. House, FL-18, 2018

475LV
Oct.27-29
475LV
Baer
44%
Baer
44%

Baer

44%

Mast

53%
53%
Mast  Mast+9

Sept. 29, 2018

U.S. House, FL-18, 2018

400LV
Sep.26-30
400LV
Baer
45%
Baer
45%

Baer

45%

Mast

48%
48%
Mast  Mast+3

Sept. 17, 2018

U.S. House, FL-18, 2018

533V
Sep.17-18
533V
Baer
43%
Baer
43%

Baer

43%

Mast

46%
46%
Mast  Mast+3
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