See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Aug. 8, 2020, at 8:25 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 27, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Jul 14-18, 2020
400 RV
Jul 14-18, 2020
400RVMucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Giménez

47%
47%
GiménezGiménez+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Aug. 20, 2019

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Jul 15-17, 2019
400 LV
Jul 15-17, 2019
400LVMucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Vilariño

33%
33%
VilariñoMucarsel-Powell+12
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Jul 15-17, 2019
400 LV
Jul 15-17, 2019
400LVMucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Curbelo

45%
45%
CurbeloCurbelo+3

Oct. 21, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Oct 19-24, 2018
499 RV
Oct 19-24, 2018
499RVMucarsel-Powell
43%

Mucarsel-Powell

43%

Curbelo

39%
39%
CurbeloMucarsel-Powell+3
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Oct 19-24, 2018
499 LV
Oct 19-24, 2018
499LVMucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Curbelo

44%
44%
CurbeloMucarsel-Powell+1

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Oct 3-9, 2018
625 LV
Oct 3-9, 2018
625LVMucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Curbelo

46%
46%
CurbeloCurbelo+1

Oct. 5, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-26FL-26
Sep 27-Oct 1, 2018
500 LV
Sep 27-Oct 1, 2018
500LVMucarsel-Powell
50%

Mucarsel-Powell

50%

Curbelo

48%
48%
CurbeloMucarsel-Powell+2
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