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Who’s ahead in the Florida 26th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 17, 2020

U.S. House, FL-26, 2020

400RV
Jul.14-18
400RV
Mucarsel-Powell
42%
Mucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Gimenez

47%
47%
Gimenez  Gimenez+5

July 16, 2019

U.S. House, FL-26, 2020

400LV
Jul.15-17
400LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Vilariño

33%
33%
Vilariño  Mucarsel-Powell+12
400LV
Jul.15-17
400LV
Mucarsel-Powell
42%
Mucarsel-Powell
42%

Mucarsel-Powell

42%

Curbelo

45%
45%
Curbelo  Curbelo+3

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House, FL-26, 2018

499RV
Oct.19-24
499RV
Mucarsel-Powell
43%
Mucarsel-Powell
43%

Mucarsel-Powell

43%

Curbelo

39%
39%
Curbelo  Mucarsel-Powell+3
499LV
Oct.19-24
499LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Curbelo

44%
44%
Curbelo  Mucarsel-Powell+1

Oct. 8, 2018

U.S. House, FL-26, 2018

625LV
Oct.3-9
625LV
Mucarsel-Powell
45%
Mucarsel-Powell
45%

Mucarsel-Powell

45%

Curbelo

46%
46%
Curbelo  Curbelo+1

Sept. 30, 2018

U.S. House, FL-26, 2018

500LV
Sep.27-Oct.1
500LV
Mucarsel-Powell
50%
Mucarsel-Powell
50%

Mucarsel-Powell

50%

Curbelo

48%
48%
Curbelo  Mucarsel-Powell+2
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