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Who’s ahead in the Florida 27 House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 20, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

350LV
Apr.18-21
350LV
Russell
41%
Russell
41%

Russell

41%

Salazar

43%
43%
Salazar  Salazar+2

Oct. 12, 2020

U.S. House, FL-27, 2020

500LV
Oct.9-13
500LV
Shalala
50%
Shalala
50%

Shalala

50%

Salazar

43%
43%
Salazar  Shalala+7

Sept. 5, 2020

U.S. House, FL-27, 2020

400LV
Sep.2-6
400LV
Shalala
43%
Shalala
43%

Shalala

43%

Salazar

46%
46%
Salazar  Salazar+3

Oct. 27, 2018

U.S. House, FL-27, 2018

500LV
Oct.25-28
500LV
Shalala
49%
Shalala
49%

Shalala

49%

Salazar

39%
39%
Salazar  Shalala+10

Oct. 18, 2018

U.S. House, FL-27, 2018

542RV
Oct.15-19
542RV
Shalala
42%
Shalala
42%

Shalala

42%

Salazar

34%
34%
Salazar  Shalala+7
542LV
Oct.15-19
542LV
Shalala
44%
Shalala
44%

Shalala

44%

Salazar

37%
37%
Salazar  Shalala+7
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