UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in Florida’s 27th District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 20, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 9-13, 2020
500 LV
Oct 9-13, 2020
500LVShalala
50%

Shalala

50%

Salazar

43%
43%
SalazarShalala+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 10, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Sep 2-6, 2020
400 LV
Sep 2-6, 2020
400LVShalala
43%

Shalala

43%

Salazar

46%
46%
SalazarSalazar+3

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 25-28, 2018
500 LV
Oct 25-28, 2018
500LVShalala
49%

Shalala

49%

Salazar

39%
39%
SalazarShalala+10

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 11-14, 2018
400 RV
Oct 11-14, 2018
400RVShalala
41%

Shalala

41%

Salazar

50%
50%
SalazarSalazar+9

Oct. 16, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 15-19, 2018
542 RV
Oct 15-19, 2018
542RVShalala
42%

Shalala

42%

Salazar

34%
34%
SalazarShalala+7
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 15-19, 2018
542 LV
Oct 15-19, 2018
542LVShalala
44%

Shalala

44%

Salazar

37%
37%
SalazarShalala+7
U.S. House
FL-27FL-27
Oct 11-14, 2018
500 LV
Oct 11-14, 2018
500LVShalala
44%

Shalala

44%

Salazar

39%

Joli

6%
MoreShalala+5
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