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Who’s ahead in the Florida 27th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

300LV
Oct.9-11
300LV
Taddeo
44%
Taddeo
44%

Taddeo

44%

Salazar

50%
50%
Salazar  Salazar+6

Oct. 4, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

400LV
Oct.3-5
400LV
Taddeo
47%
Taddeo
47%

Taddeo

47%

Salazar

46%
46%
Salazar  Taddeo+1

Aug. 5, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

400LV
Jul.31-Aug.6
400LV
Russell
37%
Russell
37%

Russell

37%

Salazar

44%
44%
Salazar  Salazar+7

July 26, 2022

May 25, 2022

U.S. House, FL-27, 2022

400RV
May 23-26
400RV
Taddeo
45%
Taddeo
45%

Taddeo

45%

Salazar

47%
47%
Salazar  Salazar+2
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