UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 1:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Indiana 5th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House, IN-5, 2020

596LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
596LV
Hale
46%
Hale
46%

Hale

46%

Spartz

46%

Tucker

5%
46%
SpartzEven

Aug. 18, 2020

U.S. House, IN-5, 2020

400LV
Aug.17-19
400LV
Hale
47%
Hale
47%

Hale

47%

Spartz

40%

Tucker

4%
40%
SpartzHale+7

Aug. 9, 2020

U.S. House, IN-5, 2020

400LV
Aug.5-10
400LV
Hale
50%
Hale
50%

Hale

50%

Spartz

44%
44%
Spartz  Hale+6

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House, IN-5, 2020

400LV
Aug.4-6
400LV
Hale
40%
Hale
40%

Hale

40%

Spartz

47%

Tucker

5%
47%
SpartzSpartz+7

June 27, 2020

U.S. House, IN-5, 2020

500LV
Jun.25-28
500LV
Hale
51%
Hale
51%

Hale

51%

Spartz

45%
45%
Spartz  Hale+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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