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Who’s ahead in the Iowa House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 24, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

400LV
Oct.24-25
400LV
Axne
44%
Axne
44%

Axne

44%

Nunn

46%
46%
Nunn  Nunn+2

Sept. 24, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

400LV
Sep.21-25
400LV
Axne
44%
Axne
44%

Axne

44%

Nunn

46%
46%
Nunn  Nunn+2

Sept. 10, 2022

U.S. House, IA-3, 2022

500LV
Sep.7-11
500LV
Axne
47%
Axne
47%

Axne

47%

Nunn

47%
47%
Nunn  Even

Aug. 4, 2022

July 19, 2022

U.S. House, IA-2, 2022

594V
Jul.19-20
594V
Mathis
44%
Mathis
44%

Mathis

44%

Hinson

44%
44%
Hinson  Even
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Candidate is an incumbent

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