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Who’s ahead in the Iowa 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 3, 2022

U.S. House, IA-1, 2022

375LV
Jun.30-Jul.4
375LV
Bohannan
38%
Bohannan
38%

Bohannan

38%

Miller-Meeks

39%
39%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+1

April 5, 2022

U.S. House, IA-1, 2022

534RV
Apr.5-6
534RV
Bohannan
42%
Bohannan
42%

Bohannan

42%

Miller-Meeks

43%
43%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+1

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, IA-1, 2020

352LV
Oct.15-20
352LV
Finkenauer
56%
Finkenauer
56%

Finkenauer

56%

Hinson

42%
42%
Hinson  Finkenauer+14
352LV
Oct.15-20
352LV
Finkenauer
54%
Finkenauer
54%

Finkenauer

54%

Hinson

44%
44%
Hinson  Finkenauer+10
352RV
Oct.15-20
352RV
Finkenauer
52%
Finkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

44%
44%
Hinson  Finkenauer+8

Sept. 27, 2020

U.S. House, IA-1, 2020

400LV
Sep.26-28
400LV
Finkenauer
45%
Finkenauer
45%

Finkenauer

45%

Hinson

45%
45%
Hinson  Even

Aug. 2, 2020

U.S. House, IA-1, 2020

391LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
391LV
Finkenauer
52%
Finkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

40%
40%
Hinson  Finkenauer+12
391LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
391LV
Finkenauer
52%
Finkenauer
52%

Finkenauer

52%

Hinson

41%
41%
Hinson  Finkenauer+11
391RV
Jul.25-Aug.3
391RV
Finkenauer
51%
Finkenauer
51%

Finkenauer

51%

Hinson

41%
41%
Hinson  Finkenauer+10
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