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Who’s ahead in the Iowa 2nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 19, 2022

U.S. House, IA-2, 2022

594V
Jul.19-20
594V
Mathis
44%
Mathis
44%

Mathis

44%

Hinson

44%
44%
Hinson  Even

Feb. 2, 2022

U.S. House, IA-2, 2022

623V
Feb.2-3
623V
Mathis
42%
Mathis
42%

Mathis

42%

Hinson

43%
43%
Hinson  Hinson+1

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, IA-2, 2020

355LV
Oct.15-20
355LV
Hart
54%
Hart
54%

Hart

54%

Miller-Meeks

41%
41%
Miller-Meeks  Hart+13
355LV
Oct.15-20
355LV
Hart
51%
Hart
51%

Hart

51%

Miller-Meeks

42%
42%
Miller-Meeks  Hart+9
355RV
Oct.15-20
355RV
Hart
49%
Hart
49%

Hart

49%

Miller-Meeks

43%
43%
Miller-Meeks  Hart+6

Aug. 2, 2020

U.S. House, IA-2, 2020

374LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
374LV
Hart
45%
Hart
45%

Hart

45%

Miller-Meeks

48%
48%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+3
374LV
Jul.25-Aug.3
374LV
Hart
44%
Hart
44%

Hart

44%

Miller-Meeks

48%
48%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+4
374RV
Jul.25-Aug.3
374RV
Hart
44%
Hart
44%

Hart

44%

Miller-Meeks

47%
47%
Miller-Meeks  Miller-Meeks+3

July 27, 2020

U.S. House, IA-2, 2020

406LV
Jul.26-28
406LV
Hart
41%
Hart
41%

Hart

41%

Miller-Meeks

41%
41%
Miller-Meeks  Even
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