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Who’s ahead in the Kansas 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 29, 2020

U.S. House, KS-1, 2020

761LV
Sep.29-30
761LV
Barnett
25%
Barnett
25%

Barnett

25%

Mann

56%
56%
Mann  Mann+31

Oct. 27, 2018

U.S. House, KS-1, 2018

221LV
Oct.26-28
221LV
LaPolice
36%
LaPolice
36%

LaPolice

36%

Marshall

51%
51%
Marshall  Marshall+15

Oct. 22, 2018

U.S. House, KS-1, 2018

600LV
Oct.22-23
600LV
LaPolice
38%
LaPolice
38%

LaPolice

38%

Marshall

42%
42%
Marshall  Marshall+4

Oct. 8, 2018

U.S. House, KS-1, 2018

1,432LV
Oct.8-9
1,432LV
LaPolice
26%
LaPolice
26%

LaPolice

26%

Marshall

60%
60%
Marshall  Marshall+34

Sept. 27, 2018

U.S. House, KS-1, 2018

193RV
Sep.26-28
193RV
LaPolice
17%
LaPolice
17%

LaPolice

17%

Marshall

44%
44%
Marshall  Marshall+27
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