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Who’s ahead in the Kansas 3rd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 23, 2022

U.S. House, KS-3, 2022

431LV
Oct.19-24
431LV
Davids
55%
Davids
55%

Davids

55%

Adkins

41%

Hohe

2%
41%
AdkinsDavids+14

July 27, 2022

U.S. House, KS-3, 2022

400LV
Jul.21-28
400LV
Davids
45%
Davids
45%

Davids

45%

Adkins

46%
46%
Adkins  Adkins+1

Sept. 29, 2020

U.S. House, KS-3, 2020

712LV
Sep.29-30
712LV
Davids
56%
Davids
56%

Davids

56%

Adkins

36%
36%
Adkins  Davids+20

Oct. 27, 2018

U.S. House, KS-3, 2018

262LV
Oct.26-28
262LV
Davids
55%
Davids
55%

Davids

55%

Yoder

43%

Clemmons

2%
43%
YoderDavids+13

Oct. 16, 2018

U.S. House, KS-3, 2018

503RV
Oct.14-17
503RV
Davids
44%
Davids
44%

Davids

44%

Yoder

37%
37%
Yoder  Davids+7
503LV
Oct.14-17
503LV
Davids
48%
Davids
48%

Davids

48%

Yoder

39%
39%
Yoder  Davids+9
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