UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Kentucky House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 12, 2020

U.S. House, KY-6, 2020

700LV
Jul.13
700LV
Hicks
50%
Hicks
50%

Hicks

50%

Barr

48%

Harris

2%
48%
BarrHicks+2

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, KY-6, 2018

438RV
Nov.1-4
438RV
McGrath
38%
McGrath
38%

McGrath

38%

Barr

47%
47%
Barr  Barr+9
438LV
Nov.1-4
438LV
McGrath
44%
McGrath
44%

McGrath

44%

Barr

44%
44%
Barr  Even

Oct. 7, 2018

U.S. House, KY-6, 2018

400RV
Oct.6-8
400RV
McGrath
46%
McGrath
46%

McGrath

46%

Barr

48%
48%
Barr  Barr+2

Oct. 1, 2018

U.S. House, KY-6, 2018

501LV
Sep.30-Oct.2
501LV
McGrath
51%
McGrath
51%

McGrath

51%

Barr

44%
44%
Barr  McGrath+7

Sept. 16, 2018

U.S. House, KY-6, 2018

600LV
Sep.12-17
600LV
McGrath
47%
McGrath
47%

McGrath

47%

Barr

47%
47%
Barr  Even
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