We are no longer adding polls or updating averages for Nov. 3, 2020, races. Visit our unresolved races live blog to follow along as the remaining results come in!

UPDATED Dec. 2, 2020, at 8:46 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in Kentucky?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added July 17, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Jul 13, 2020
700 LV
Jul 13, 2020
700LVHicks
50%

Hicks

50%

Barr

48%

Harris

2%
MoreHicks+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Nov 1-4, 2018
438 RV
Nov 1-4, 2018
438RVMcGrath
38%

McGrath

38%

Barr

47%
47%
BarrBarr+9
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Nov 1-4, 2018
438 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
438LVMcGrath
44%

McGrath

44%

Barr

44%
44%
BarrEven

Oct. 9, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Oct 6-8, 2018
400 RV
Oct 6-8, 2018
400RVMcGrath
46%

McGrath

46%

Barr

48%
48%
BarrBarr+2

Oct. 4, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Sep 30-Oct 2, 2018
501 LV
Sep 30-Oct 2, 2018
501LVMcGrath
51%

McGrath

51%

Barr

44%
44%
BarrMcGrath+7
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Aug 23-26, 2018
401 LV
Aug 23-26, 2018
401LVMcGrath
44%

McGrath

44%

Barr

49%
49%
BarrBarr+5

Sept. 25, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
KY-6KY-6
Sep 12-17, 2018
600 LV
Sep 12-17, 2018
600LVMcGrath
47%

McGrath

47%

Barr

47%
47%
BarrEven
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