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Who’s ahead in the Maine 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

477LV
Nov.2-6
477LV
Pingree
58%
Pingree
58%

Pingree

58%

Thelander

39%
39%
Thelander  Pingree+19

Oct. 14, 2022

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

400LV
Oct.7-15
400LV
Pingree
63%
Pingree
63%

Pingree

63%

Thelander

28%
28%
Thelander  Pingree+35

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

694LV
Sep.15-19
694LV
Pingree
57%
Pingree
57%

Pingree

57%

Thelander

32%
32%
Thelander  Pingree+25

May 12, 2022

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

250LV
May 10-13
250LV
Pingree
57%
Pingree
57%

Pingree

57%

Thelander

33%
33%
Thelander  Pingree+24

May 4, 2022

U.S. House, ME-1, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

421LV
Apr.21-May 5
421LV
Pingree
51%
Pingree
51%

Pingree

51%

Thelander

31%
31%
Thelander  Pingree+20
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Candidate is an incumbent

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