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Who’s ahead in the Michigan House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2022

Oct. 19, 2022

U.S. House, MI-7, 2022

400LV
Oct.18-20
400LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Barrett

41%

Dailey

4%
41%
BarrettSlotkin+6

Oct. 17, 2022

U.S. House, MI-10, 2022

400LV
Oct.16-18
400LV
Marlinga
44%
Marlinga
44%

Marlinga

44%

James

42%
42%
James  Marlinga+2

Oct. 10, 2022

U.S. House, MI-7, 2022

283LV
Oct.11
283LV
Slotkin
53%
Slotkin
53%

Slotkin

53%

Barrett

42%
42%
Barrett  Slotkin+11

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. House, MI-10, 2022

400LV
Oct.4-6
400LV
Marlinga
36%
Marlinga
36%

Marlinga

36%

James

44%
44%
James  James+8
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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