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Who’s ahead in the Michigan 11th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, MI-11, 2018

500LV
Oct.15-17
500LV
Stevens
48%
Stevens
48%

Stevens

48%

Epstein

48%

Schwartz

1%

Nye

1%
48%
EpsteinEven
513LV
Oct.10-14
513LV
Stevens
48%
Stevens
48%

Stevens

48%

Epstein

39%
39%
Epstein  Stevens+9
513LV
Oct.10-14
513LV
Stevens
44%
Stevens
44%

Stevens

44%

Epstein

34%

Schwartz

4%
34%
EpsteinStevens+10
400LV
Oct.10-13
400LV
Stevens
36%
Stevens
36%

Stevens

36%

Epstein

35%

Schwartz

1%

Nye

1%
35%
EpsteinStevens+1
465RV
Oct.1-6
465RV
Stevens
46%
Stevens
46%

Stevens

46%

Epstein

35%
35%
Epstein  Stevens+11
465LV
Oct.1-6
465LV
Stevens
45%
Stevens
45%

Stevens

45%

Epstein

38%
38%
Epstein  Stevens+8
503LV
Oct.2-4
503LV
Stevens
42%
Stevens
42%

Stevens

42%

Epstein

37%

Schwartz

4%
37%
EpsteinStevens+5
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