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Who’s ahead in the Michigan 3rd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 25, 2022

U.S. House, MI-3, 2022

676RV
May 25-26
676RV
Scholten
44%
Scholten
44%

Scholten

44%

Gibbs

35%
35%
Gibbs  Scholten+9
676RV
May 25-26
676RV
Scholten
39%
Scholten
39%

Scholten

39%

Meijer

37%
37%
Meijer  Scholten+2

Oct. 16, 2020

U.S. House, MI-3, 2020

400LV
Oct.15-17
400LV
Scholten
46%
Scholten
46%

Scholten

46%

Meijer

46%
46%
Meijer  Even
400LV
Oct.15-17
400LV
Scholten
50%
Scholten
50%

Scholten

50%

Meijer

42%
42%
Meijer  Scholten+8

Oct. 8, 2020

U.S. House, MI-3, 2020

449LV
Oct.7-9
449LV
Scholten
47%
Scholten
47%

Scholten

47%

Meijer

42%
42%
Meijer  Scholten+5

Oct. 6, 2020

U.S. House, MI-3, 2020

400LV
Oct.5-7
400LV
Scholten
43%
Scholten
43%

Scholten

43%

Meijer

50%
50%
Meijer  Meijer+7

Sept. 19, 2020

U.S. House, MI-3, 2020

400LV
Sep.19-20
400LV
Scholten
41%
Scholten
41%

Scholten

41%

Meijer

48%
48%
Meijer  Meijer+7
501LV
Sep.16-20
501LV
Scholten
44%
Scholten
44%

Scholten

44%

Meijer

42%
42%
Meijer  Scholten+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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