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Who’s ahead in the Michigan 6th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 27, 2020

U.S. House, MI-6, 2020

400LV
Aug.25-28
400LV
Hoadley
40%
Hoadley
40%

Hoadley

40%

Upton

46%
46%
Upton  Upton+6

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House, MI-6, 2020

500RV
Jul.30-Aug.6
500RV
Hoadley
40%
Hoadley
40%

Hoadley

40%

Upton

36%
36%
Upton  Hoadley+4

July 15, 2020

U.S. House, MI-6, 2020

604LV
Jul.16
604LV
Richardson
56%
Richardson
56%

Richardson

56%

Upton

36%
36%
Upton  Richardson+20

May 4, 2020

U.S. House, MI-6, 2020

400LV
May 2-5
400LV
Hoadley
38%
Hoadley
38%

Hoadley

38%

Upton

37%
37%
Upton  Hoadley+1

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, MI-6, 2018

460LV
Nov.2-4
460LV
Longjohn
42%
Longjohn
42%

Longjohn

42%

Upton

40%

Young

3%
40%
UptonLongjohn+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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