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Who’s ahead in the Michigan 8th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 29, 2022

U.S. House, MI-8, 2022

335LV
Sep.27-30
335LV
Kildee
44%
Kildee
44%

Kildee

44%

Junge

45%
45%
Junge  Junge+1

Aug. 3, 2022

U.S. House, MI-8, 2022

400LV
Jul.28-Aug.4
400LV
Kildee
43%
Kildee
43%

Kildee

43%

Junge

40%
40%
Junge  Kildee+3

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, MI-8, 2018

501LV
Nov.2-4
501LV
Slotkin
47%
Slotkin
47%

Slotkin

47%

Bishop

46%

Ellison

3%

Lillis

0%
46%
BishopSlotkin+1
447RV
Oct.31-Nov.4
447RV
Slotkin
43%
Slotkin
43%

Slotkin

43%

Bishop

38%
38%
Bishop  Slotkin+5
447LV
Oct.31-Nov.4
447LV
Slotkin
49%
Slotkin
49%

Slotkin

49%

Bishop

42%
42%
Bishop  Slotkin+7

Oct. 16, 2018

U.S. House, MI-8, 2018

500LV
Oct.15-17
500LV
Slotkin
45%
Slotkin
45%

Slotkin

45%

Bishop

48%

Ellison

2%

Lillis

1%
48%
BishopBishop+3

Oct. 2, 2018

U.S. House, MI-8, 2018

501RV
Sep.28-Oct.3
501RV
Slotkin
43%
Slotkin
43%

Slotkin

43%

Bishop

46%
46%
Bishop  Bishop+3
501LV
Sep.28-Oct.3
501LV
Slotkin
44%
Slotkin
44%

Slotkin

44%

Bishop

47%
47%
Bishop  Bishop+3
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