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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 22, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

563LV
Oct.20-23
563LV
Ettinger
37%
Ettinger
37%

Ettinger

37%

Finstad

46%

Reisdorf

6%
46%
FinstadFinstad+9

Oct. 15, 2022

U.S. House, MN-2, 2022

586LV
Oct.13-16
586LV
Craig
46%
Craig
46%

Craig

46%

Kistner

45%

Overby

5%
45%
KistnerCraig+1

July 31, 2022

U.S. House, MN-3, 2022

507LV
Jul.28-Aug.1
507LV
Phillips
57%
Phillips
57%

Phillips

57%

Weiler

36%
36%
Weiler  Phillips+21

July 29, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

544LV
Jul.26-30
544LV
Ettinger
38%
Ettinger
38%

Ettinger

38%

Finstad

46%
46%
Finstad  Finstad+8

July 25, 2022

U.S. House, MN-2, 2022

400LV
Jul.19-26
400LV
Craig
47%
Craig
47%

Craig

47%

Kistner

46%
46%
Kistner  Craig+1
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