UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 31, 2022

U.S. House, MN-3, 2022

507LV
Jul.28-Aug.1
507LV
Phillips
57%
Phillips
57%

Phillips

57%

Weiler

36%
36%
Weiler  Phillips+21

July 29, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

544LV
Jul.26-30
544LV
Ettinger
38%
Ettinger
38%

Ettinger

38%

Finstad

46%
46%
Finstad  Finstad+8

June 8, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

400LV
Jun.6-9
400LV
Ettinger
47%
Ettinger
47%

Ettinger

47%

Finstad

48%
48%
Finstad  Finstad+1

May 14, 2022

U.S. House, MN-2, 2022

450LV
May 14-15
450LV
Craig
43%
Craig
43%

Craig

43%

Kistner

38%

Overby

4%
38%
KistnerCraig+5

Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. House, MN-2, 2020

400LV
Oct.12-14
400LV
Craig
53%
Craig
53%

Craig

53%

Kistner

35%

Weeks

4%
35%
KistnerCraig+18
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Candidate is an incumbent

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