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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota 1st District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 22, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

563LV
Oct.20-23
563LV
Ettinger
37%
Ettinger
37%

Ettinger

37%

Finstad

46%

Reisdorf

6%
46%
FinstadFinstad+9

July 29, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

544LV
Jul.26-30
544LV
Ettinger
38%
Ettinger
38%

Ettinger

38%

Finstad

46%
46%
Finstad  Finstad+8

June 8, 2022

U.S. House, MN-1, 2022

400LV
Jun.6-9
400LV
Ettinger
47%
Ettinger
47%

Ettinger

47%

Finstad

48%
48%
Finstad  Finstad+1

Sept. 10, 2020

U.S. House, MN-1, 2020

885V
Sep.10-11
885V
Feehan
41%
Feehan
41%

Feehan

41%

Hagedorn

41%
41%
Hagedorn  Even

Aug. 6, 2020

U.S. House, MN-1, 2020

500RV
Jul.31-Aug.7
500RV
Feehan
38%
Feehan
38%

Feehan

38%

Hagedorn

41%
41%
Hagedorn  Hagedorn+3
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