See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Sep. 25, 2020, at 10:26 PM

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Who’s ahead in Minnesota?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 3, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-3MN-3
Sep 24-29, 2018
607 LV
Sep 24-29, 2018
607LVPhillips
49%

Phillips

49%

Paulsen

44%
44%
PaulsenPhillips+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 20, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-3MN-3
Sep 17-18, 2018
538 V
Sep 17-18, 2018
538VPhillips
52%

Phillips

52%

Paulsen

39%
39%
PaulsenPhillips+13

Sept. 11, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-3MN-3
Sep 7-9, 2018
500 RV
Sep 7-9, 2018
500RVPhillips
50%

Phillips

50%

Paulsen

40%
40%
PaulsenPhillips+10

Sept. 8, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-3MN-3
Sep 7-9, 2018
500 LV
Sep 7-9, 2018
500LVPhillips
51%

Phillips

51%

Paulsen

42%
42%
PaulsenPhillips+9

Feb. 13, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
MN-3MN-3
Feb 12-13, 2018
664 V
Feb 12-13, 2018
664VPhillips
46%

Phillips

46%

Paulsen

43%
43%
PaulsenPhillips+3
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