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Who’s ahead in the Minnesota 8th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, MN-8, 2018

507RV
Oct.11-14
507RV
Radinovich
32%
Radinovich
32%

Radinovich

32%

Stauber

48%
48%
Stauber  Stauber+16
507LV
Oct.11-14
507LV
Radinovich
34%
Radinovich
34%

Radinovich

34%

Stauber

49%
49%
Stauber  Stauber+16
400LV
Sep.27-30
400LV
Radinovich
45%
Radinovich
45%

Radinovich

45%

Stauber

44%
44%
Stauber  Radinovich+1
504RV
Sep.6-9
504RV
Radinovich
42%
Radinovich
42%

Radinovich

42%

Stauber

43%
43%
Stauber  Stauber+1
504LV
Sep.6-9
504LV
Radinovich
44%
Radinovich
44%

Radinovich

44%

Stauber

43%
43%
Stauber  Radinovich+1
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