See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Jul. 12, 2020, at 2:08 PM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 5, 2018

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Nov 1-4, 2018
263 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
263LVHorsford
48%

Horsford

48%

Hardy

44%
44%
HardyHorsford+4
U.S. House
NV-3NV-3
Nov 1-4, 2018
332 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
332LVLee
51%

Lee

51%

Tarkanian

41%
41%
TarkanianLee+9
U.S. House
NV-2NV-2
Nov 1-4, 2018
365 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
365LVKoble
37%

Koble

37%

Amodei

58%
58%
AmodeiAmodei+21
U.S. House
NV-1NV-1
Nov 1-4, 2018
238 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
238LVTitus
58%

Titus

58%

Bentley

28%
28%
BentleyTitus+30

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Oct 10-12, 2018
157 LV
Oct 10-12, 2018
157LVHorsford
36%

Horsford

36%

Hardy

34%
34%
HardyHorsford+2
U.S. House
NV-3NV-3
Oct 10-12, 2018
178 LV
Oct 10-12, 2018
178LVLee
41%

Lee

41%

Tarkanian

39%
39%
TarkanianLee+2
U.S. House
NV-2NV-2
Oct 10-12, 2018
169 LV
Oct 10-12, 2018
169LVKoble
16%

Koble

16%

Amodei

23%
23%
AmodeiAmodei+7
U.S. House
NV-1NV-1
Oct 10-12, 2018
121 LV
Oct 10-12, 2018
121LVTitus
50%

Titus

50%

Bentley

20%
20%
BentleyTitus+30

Oct. 12, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Oct 3-8, 2018
400 LV
Oct 3-8, 2018
400LVHorsford
37%

Horsford

37%

Hardy

41%

Luckner

2%

Markowitz

2%

McGonigle

1%

Smith

1%
MoreHardy+4

Aug. 21, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Jul 17-22, 2018
500 LV
Jul 17-22, 2018
500LVHorsford
49%

Horsford

49%

Hardy

40%
40%
HardyHorsford+9
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Jul 17-22, 2018
500 LV
Jul 17-22, 2018
500LVHorsford
42%

Horsford

42%

Hardy

32%

Luckner

3%

Markowitz

3%

Smith

3%
MoreHorsford+10

Aug. 17, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NV-4NV-4
Aug 4-7, 2018
400 LV
Aug 4-7, 2018
400LVHorsford
41%

Horsford

41%

Hardy

41%
41%
HardyEven
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