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Who’s ahead in the Nevada 4th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 28, 2022

U.S. House, NV-4, 2022

480LV
Oct.26-29
480LV
Horsford
51%
Horsford
51%

Horsford

51%

Peters

48%
48%
Peters  Horsford+3

Aug. 7, 2022

U.S. House, NV-4, 2022

400LV
Aug.2-8
400LV
Horsford
43%
Horsford
43%

Horsford

43%

Peters

43%
43%
Peters  Even

July 9, 2022

U.S. House, NV-4, 2022

500RV
Jul.7-10
500RV
Horsford
42%
Horsford
42%

Horsford

42%

Peters

39%
39%
Peters  Horsford+3

Nov. 3, 2018

U.S. House, NV-4, 2018

263LV
Nov.1-4
263LV
Horsford
48%
Horsford
48%

Horsford

48%

Hardy

44%
44%
Hardy  Horsford+4

Oct. 11, 2018

U.S. House, NV-4, 2018

157LV
Oct.10-12
157LV
Horsford
36%
Horsford
36%

Horsford

36%

Hardy

34%
34%
Hardy  Horsford+2
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