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Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 5, 2022

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

1,027LV
Nov.2-6
1,027LV
Kuster
53%
Kuster
53%

Kuster

53%

Burns

45%
45%
Burns  Kuster+8

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

1,043LV
Nov.2-6
1,043LV
Pappas
50%
Pappas
50%

Pappas

50%

Leavitt

49%
49%
Leavitt  Pappas+1

Oct. 28, 2022

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

750LV
Oct.28-29
750LV
Kuster
50%
Kuster
50%

Kuster

50%

Burns

42%
42%
Burns  Kuster+8

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

791LV
Oct.28-29
791LV
Pappas
45%
Pappas
45%

Pappas

45%

Leavitt

51%
51%
Leavitt  Leavitt+6

Oct. 25, 2022

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

573LV
Oct.25-26
573LV
Kuster
43%
Kuster
43%

Kuster

43%

Burns

44%
44%
Burns  Burns+1

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

525LV
Oct.25-26
525LV
Pappas
48%
Pappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Leavitt

44%
44%
Leavitt  Pappas+4

Oct. 5, 2022

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

250LV
Oct.2-6
250LV
Kuster
53%
Kuster
53%

Kuster

53%

Burns

43%
43%
Burns  Kuster+10

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

250LV
Oct.2-6
250LV
Pappas
48%
Pappas
48%

Pappas

48%

Leavitt

47%
47%
Leavitt  Pappas+1

Sept. 27, 2022

U.S. House, NH-2, 2022

451LV
Sep.27-28
451LV
Kuster
49%
Kuster
49%

Kuster

49%

Burns

35%
35%
Burns  Kuster+14

U.S. House, NH-1, 2022

450LV
Sep.27-28
450LV
Pappas
49%
Pappas
49%

Pappas

49%

Leavitt

41%
41%
Leavitt  Pappas+8
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