See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 20, 2020, at 10:38 AM

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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 5, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 LV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588LVKennedy
51%

Kennedy

51%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+7
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 LV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588LVKennedy
50%

Kennedy

50%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+6
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588 RV
Sep 26-Oct 1, 2020
588RVKennedy
49%

Kennedy

49%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Sept. 24, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 14-17, 2020
505 LV
Sep 14-17, 2020
505LVKennedy
46%

Kennedy

46%

Van Drew

42%

Ehrnstrom

2%

Harvey

1%
MoreKennedy+4

Sept. 23, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 14-17, 2020
505 LV
Sep 14-17, 2020
505LVKennedy
49%

Kennedy

49%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van DrewKennedy+5

Sept. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Sep 14-15, 2020
550 V
Sep 14-15, 2020
550VKennedy
48%

Kennedy

48%

Van Drew

43%
43%
Van DrewKennedy+5

Aug. 18, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NJ-2NJ-2
Jul 30-Aug 5, 2020
500 RV
Jul 30-Aug 5, 2020
500RVKennedy
39%

Kennedy

39%

Van Drew

42%
42%
Van DrewVan Drew+3
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