UPDATED Sep. 27, 2022, at 8:10 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 28, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-3, 2022

400LV
Jul.22-29
400LV
Kim
44%
Kim
44%

Kim

44%

Healey

38%
38%
Healey  Kim+6

July 27, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

400LV
Jul.23-28
400LV
Malinowski
38%
Malinowski
38%

Malinowski

38%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Kean+8

July 18, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-1, 2022

625LV
Jul.13-19
625LV
Norcross
49%
Norcross
49%

Norcross

49%

Gustafson

44%
44%
Gustafson  Norcross+5

Jan. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

600LV
Jan.19-27
600LV
Malinowski
46%
Malinowski
46%

Malinowski

46%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Even

May 18, 2021

U.S. House, NJ-11, 2022

600LV
May 18-19
600LV
Sherrill
51%
Sherrill
51%

Sherrill

51%

Brotschol

49%
49%
Brotschol  Sherrill+3
600LV
May 18-19
600LV
Sherrill
51%
Sherrill
51%

Sherrill

51%

Becchi

49%
49%
Becchi  Sherrill+2
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