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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey 2 house race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-2, 2020

676LV
Oct.22-27
676LV
Kennedy
46%
Kennedy
46%

Kennedy

46%

Van Drew

45%
45%
Van Drew  Kennedy+1

Sept. 30, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-2, 2020

588LV
Sep.26-Oct.1
588LV
Kennedy
51%
Kennedy
51%

Kennedy

51%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van Drew  Kennedy+7
588LV
Sep.26-Oct.1
588LV
Kennedy
50%
Kennedy
50%

Kennedy

50%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van Drew  Kennedy+6
588RV
Sep.26-Oct.1
588RV
Kennedy
49%
Kennedy
49%

Kennedy

49%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van Drew  Kennedy+5

Sept. 16, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-2, 2020

505LV
Sep.14-17
505LV
Kennedy
46%
Kennedy
46%

Kennedy

46%

Van Drew

42%

Ehrnstrom

2%

Harvey

1%
42%
Van DrewKennedy+4
505LV
Sep.14-17
505LV
Kennedy
49%
Kennedy
49%

Kennedy

49%

Van Drew

44%
44%
Van Drew  Kennedy+5

Sept. 14, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-2, 2020

550V
Sep.14-15
550V
Kennedy
48%
Kennedy
48%

Kennedy

48%

Van Drew

43%
43%
Van Drew  Kennedy+5

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-2, 2020

400LV
Aug.4-6
400LV
Kennedy
51%
Kennedy
51%

Kennedy

51%

Van Drew

46%
46%
Van Drew  Kennedy+5
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