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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey 7 house race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Jan. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

600LV
Jan.19-27
600LV
Malinowski
46%
Malinowski
46%

Malinowski

46%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Even

March 10, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2020

400LV
Mar.10-11
400LV
Malinowski
38%
Malinowski
38%

Malinowski

38%

Kean

39%
39%
Kean  Kean+1

June 25, 2019

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2020

400LV
Jun.24-26
400LV
Malinowski
42%
Malinowski
42%

Malinowski

42%

Kean

44%
44%
Kean  Kean+2

Oct. 30, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2018

503RV
Oct.28-31
503RV
Malinowski
42%
Malinowski
42%

Malinowski

42%

Lance

39%
39%
Lance  Malinowski+3
503LV
Oct.28-31
503LV
Malinowski
47%
Malinowski
47%

Malinowski

47%

Lance

39%
39%
Lance  Malinowski+8

Oct. 28, 2018

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2018

356LV
Oct.25-29
356LV
Malinowski
46%
Malinowski
46%

Malinowski

46%

Lance

46%
46%
Lance  Even
356LV
Oct.25-29
356LV
Malinowski
48%
Malinowski
48%

Malinowski

48%

Lance

43%
43%
Lance  Malinowski+5
356LV
Oct.25-29
356LV
Malinowski
47%
Malinowski
47%

Malinowski

47%

Lance

44%
44%
Lance  Malinowski+3
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