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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico 2nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 27, 2022

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

302LV
Oct.25-28
302LV
Vasquez
44%
Vasquez
44%

Vasquez

44%

Herrell

54%
54%
Herrell  Herrell+11

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

410LV
Oct.20-27
410LV
Vasquez
47%
Vasquez
47%

Vasquez

47%

Herrell

45%
45%
Herrell  Vasquez+2

Oct. 23, 2022

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

398LV
Oct.20-24
398LV
Vasquez
48%
Vasquez
48%

Vasquez

48%

Herrell

47%
47%
Herrell  Vasquez+1

Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.20-26
500LV
Vasquez
45%
Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

43%
43%
Herrell  Vasquez+2

July 24, 2022

U.S. House, NM-2, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Jul.19-25
500LV
Vasquez
45%
Vasquez
45%

Vasquez

45%

Herrell

44%
44%
Herrell  Vasquez+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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