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Who’s ahead in the New Mexico 2 House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NM-2, 2020

403LV
Oct.23-29
403LV
Torres Small
46%
Torres Small
46%

Torres Small

46%

Herrell

48%
48%
Herrell  Herrell+2

Oct. 19, 2020

U.S. House, NM-2, 2020

406LV
Oct.16-20
406LV
Torres Small
47%
Torres Small
47%

Torres Small

47%

Herrell

46%
46%
Herrell  Torres Small+1

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NM-2, 2020

400LV
Sep.26-29
400LV
Torres Small
47%
Torres Small
47%

Torres Small

47%

Herrell

48%
48%
Herrell  Herrell+1

Sept. 1, 2020

U.S. House, NM-2, 2020

404LV
Aug.26-Sep.2
404LV
Torres Small
47%
Torres Small
47%

Torres Small

47%

Herrell

45%
45%
Herrell  Torres Small+2

July 8, 2020

U.S. House, NM-2, 2020

400LV
Jul.7-9
400LV
Torres Small
46%
Torres Small
46%

Torres Small

46%

Herrell

46%
46%
Herrell  Even
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Candidate is an incumbent

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