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Who’s ahead in the New York House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022

455LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
455LV
Riley
48%
Riley
48%

Riley

48%

Molinaro

43%
43%
Molinaro  Riley+5

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022

432LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
432LV
Conole
46%
Conole
46%

Conole

46%

Williams

42%
42%
Williams  Conole+4

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022

400LV
Oct.24-27
400LV
Conole
45%
Conole
45%

Conole

45%

Williams

43%
43%
Williams  Conole+2

Oct. 12, 2022

U.S. House, NY-25, 2022

465RV
Oct.11-13
465RV
Morelle
43%
Morelle
43%

Morelle

43%

Singletary

39%
39%
Singletary  Morelle+4

Oct. 11, 2022

U.S. House, NY-17, 2022

400LV
Oct.10-12
400LV
Maloney
46%
Maloney
46%

Maloney

46%

Lawler

52%
52%
Lawler  Lawler+6

Sept. 29, 2022

U.S. House, NY-11, 2022

451LV
Sep.27-30
451LV
Rose
43%
Rose
43%

Rose

43%

Malliotakis

49%
49%
Malliotakis  Malliotakis+6
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