UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the New York House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 27, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022

407LV
Jul.26-28
407LV
Ryan
40%
Ryan
40%

Ryan

40%

Molinaro

50%
50%
Molinaro  Molinaro+10

July 20, 2022

U.S. House, NY-17, 2022

400LV
Jul.19-21
400LV
Biaggi
41%
Biaggi
41%

Biaggi

41%

Lawler

47%
47%
Lawler  Lawler+6
400LV
Jul.19-21
400LV
Maloney
44%
Maloney
44%

Maloney

44%

Lawler

46%
46%
Lawler  Lawler+2

July 11, 2022

U.S. House, NY-3, 2022

714LV
Jul.11-12
714LV
Lafazan
33%
Lafazan
33%

Lafazan

33%

Devolder-Santos

44%

D'Arrigo

8%
44%
Devolder-SantosDevolder-Santos+11

June 29, 2022

U.S. House, NY-19, 2022

581LV
Jun.29-30
581LV
Ryan
40%
Ryan
40%

Ryan

40%

Molinaro

43%
43%
Molinaro  Molinaro+3

June 25, 2022

U.S. House, NY-11, 2022

400LV
Jun.23-26
400LV
Rose
36%
Rose
36%

Rose

36%

Malliotakis

51%
51%
Malliotakis  Malliotakis+15
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