UPDATED Apr. 13, 2021, at 9:39 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738 LV
Oct 29-Nov 2, 2020
738LVBalter
46%

Balter

46%

Katko

44%

Williams

4%
MoreBalter+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 27, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-11NY-11
Oct 19-21, 2020
861 RV
Oct 19-21, 2020
861RVRose
47%

Rose

47%

Malliotakis

46%
46%
MalliotakisRose+1

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-11NY-11
Oct 19-21, 2020
650 LV
Oct 19-21, 2020
650LVRose
46%

Rose

46%

Malliotakis

48%
48%
MalliotakisMalliotakis+2

Oct. 25, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 20-22, 2020
558 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
558LVBalter
45%
Tie

Balter

45%

Katko

45%

Williams

5%
MoreEven

Oct. 22, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-24NY-24
Oct 15-18, 2020
400 LV
Oct 15-18, 2020
400LVBalter
39%

Balter

39%

Katko

47%

Williams

3%
MoreKatko+8
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