UPDATED Nov. 15, 2021, at 9:45 AM

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Who’s ahead in New York’s 22nd District?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Oct. 7, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Sep 27-Oct 4, 2020
383 LV
Sep 27-Oct 4, 2020
383LVBrindisi
48%

Brindisi

48%

Tenney

39%

Price

4%
MoreBrindisi+9

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Nov 1-4, 2018
506 RV
Nov 1-4, 2018
506RVBrindisi
40%

Brindisi

40%

Tenney

46%
46%
TenneyTenney+6
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Nov 1-4, 2018
506 LV
Nov 1-4, 2018
506LVBrindisi
45%

Brindisi

45%

Tenney

46%
46%
TenneyTenney+1

Oct. 23, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Oct 15-18, 2018
501 LV
Oct 15-18, 2018
501LVBrindisi
46%

Brindisi

46%

Tenney

45%
45%
TenneyBrindisi+1

Oct. 15, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Oct 12-13, 2018
400 LV
Oct 12-13, 2018
400LVBrindisi
42%

Brindisi

42%

Tenney

50%
50%
TenneyTenney+8

Aug. 28, 2018

U.S. House
U.S. House
NY-22 NY-22
Aug 20-26, 2018
499 LV
Aug 20-26, 2018
499LVBrindisi
46%

Brindisi

46%

Tenney

44%
44%
TenneyBrindisi+2
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