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Who’s ahead in the New York 22nd District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 31, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

432LV
Oct.27-Nov.1
432LV
Conole
46%
Conole
46%

Conole

46%

Williams

42%
42%
Williams  Conole+4

Oct. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

400LV
Oct.24-27
400LV
Conole
45%
Conole
45%

Conole

45%

Williams

43%
43%
Williams  Conole+2

Sept. 27, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

453LV
Sep.25-28
453LV
Conole
40%
Conole
40%

Conole

40%

Williams

45%
45%
Williams  Williams+5

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

400LV
Sep.15-19
400LV
Conole
43%
Conole
43%

Conole

43%

Williams

42%
42%
Williams  Conole+1

Sept. 1, 2022

U.S. House, NY-22, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

400LV
Aug.27-Sep.2
400LV
Conole
40%
Conole
40%

Conole

40%

Williams

43%
43%
Williams  Williams+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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