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Who’s ahead in the New York 24th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

U.S. House, NY-24, 2020

738LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
738LV
Balter
46%
Balter
46%

Balter

46%

Katko

44%

Williams

4%
44%
KatkoBalter+2

Oct. 21, 2020

U.S. House, NY-24, 2020

558LV
Oct.20-22
558LV
Balter
45%
Balter
45%

Balter

45%

Katko

45%

Williams

5%
45%
KatkoEven

Oct. 17, 2020

U.S. House, NY-24, 2020

400LV
Oct.15-18
400LV
Balter
39%
Balter
39%

Balter

39%

Katko

47%

Williams

3%
47%
KatkoKatko+8

Oct. 13, 2020

U.S. House, NY-24, 2020

789RV
Oct.13-14
789RV
Balter
45%
Balter
45%

Balter

45%

Katko

43%
43%
Katko  Balter+2

Sept. 28, 2020

U.S. House, NY-24, 2020

414LV
Sep.27-29
414LV
Balter
45%
Balter
45%

Balter

45%

Katko

42%
42%
Katko  Balter+3
414LV
Sep.27-29
414LV
Balter
42%
Balter
42%

Balter

42%

Katko

40%

Williams

6%
40%
KatkoBalter+2
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