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Who’s ahead in the New York 25th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 12, 2022

U.S. House, NY-25, 2022

465RV
Oct.11-13
465RV
Morelle
43%
Morelle
43%

Morelle

43%

Singletary

39%
39%
Singletary  Morelle+4

Oct. 29, 2018

U.S. House, NY-25, 2018

843LV
Oct.29-30
843LV
Morelle
49%
Morelle
49%

Morelle

49%

Maxwell

40%
40%
Maxwell  Morelle+9

Oct. 7, 2018

U.S. House, NY-25, 2018

465LV
Oct.4-8
465LV
Morelle
53%
Morelle
53%

Morelle

53%

Maxwell

36%
36%
Maxwell  Morelle+17

Aug. 18, 2018

U.S. House, NY-25, 2018

500LV
Aug.15-19
500LV
Morelle
55%
Morelle
55%

Morelle

55%

Maxwell

31%
31%
Maxwell  Morelle+24
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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