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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 23, 2022

U.S. House, NC-13, 2022

584LV
Oct.21-24
584LV
Nickel
44%
Nickel
44%

Nickel

44%

Hines

43%
43%
Hines  Nickel+1

Oct. 12, 2022

U.S. House, NC-1, 2022

402LV
Oct.10-13
402LV
Davis
54%
Davis
54%

Davis

54%

Smith

39%
39%
Smith  Davis+15

Aug. 31, 2022

U.S. House, NC-13, 2022

500LV
Aug.29-Sep.1
500LV
Nickel
44%
Nickel
44%

Nickel

44%

Hines

40%
40%
Hines  Nickel+4

Aug. 23, 2022

U.S. House, NC-13, 2022

506V
Aug.23-24
506V
Nickel
40%
Nickel
40%

Nickel

40%

Hines

40%
40%
Hines  Even

Aug. 5, 2022

U.S. House, NC-13, 2022

400LV
Jul.31-Aug.6
400LV
Nickel
39%
Nickel
39%

Nickel

39%

Hines

44%
44%
Hines  Hines+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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