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Who’s ahead in the North Carolina 11th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 19, 2022

U.S. House, NC-11, 2022

308LV
May 18-20
308LV
Beach-Ferrara
40%
Beach-Ferrara
40%

Beach-Ferrara

40%

Edwards

46%

Coatney

6%
46%
EdwardsEdwards+6

Oct. 17, 2020

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020

400LV
Oct.15-18
400LV
Davis
45%
Davis
45%

Davis

45%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Davis+3

Sept. 23, 2020

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020

400LV
Sep.22-24
400LV
Davis
46%
Davis
46%

Davis

46%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Davis+4

Aug. 5, 2020

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020

500LV
Aug.5-6
500LV
Davis
41%
Davis
41%

Davis

41%

Cawthorn

46%
46%
Cawthorn  Cawthorn+5

July 11, 2020

U.S. House, NC-11, 2020

402LV
Jul.9-12
402LV
Davis
40%
Davis
40%

Davis

40%

Cawthorn

42%
42%
Cawthorn  Cawthorn+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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